Deportivo Merlo 3-0 Dock Sud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
50%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Merlo The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dock Sud The Market 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Merlo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dock Sud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.10.2023 Dock Sud Dock Sud 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Merlo ran out comfortable winners over Dock Sud 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Merlo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

Deportivo Merlo 3-0 Dock Sud in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Merlo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Merlo 47%, draw 28%, Dock Sud 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Merlo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Merlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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