Excursionistas 1-1 UAI Urquiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
47%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
50%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excursionistas The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY UAI Urquiza The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excursionistas and UAI Urquiza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Excursionistas at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza?

Excursionistas 1-1 UAI Urquiza in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excursionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Excursionistas 54%, draw 23%, UAI Urquiza 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Excursionistas) ✗ BTTS No
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