23/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Friedburg vs Oedt Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over Pick
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
21%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
13%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
24%
22%
Draw
26%
44%
Away Win
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Friedburg v Oedt — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Friedburg
The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Oedt
The Market 55%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
267 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
404 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Friedburg vs Oedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oedt saw off Friedburg 3-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oedt as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Friedburg vs Oedt?
Friedburg 1-3 Oedt in the Austria - Landesliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Friedburg vs Oedt?
Before kick-off our model rated an Oedt win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Friedburg 34%, draw 22%, Oedt 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oedt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Oedt)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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AULAN
More Austria - Landesliga
23 Mar 2024