23/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-0
SV Gloggnitz vs Kilb Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
SV Gloggnitz win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
57%
Home Win
51%
21%
Draw
24%
22%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SV Gloggnitz v Kilb — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SV Gloggnitz
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kilb
The Market 29%
+29% /
+29%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+35%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
354 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
SV Gloggnitz vs Kilb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SV Gloggnitz beat Kilb 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had SV Gloggnitz as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of SV Gloggnitz vs Kilb?
SV Gloggnitz 2-0 Kilb in the Austria - Landesliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SV Gloggnitz vs Kilb?
Before kick-off our model rated a SV Gloggnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split SV Gloggnitz 57%, draw 21%, Kilb 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Gloggnitz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (SV Gloggnitz)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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AULAN
More Austria - Landesliga
23 Mar 2024