23/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Völs vs Kematen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
45%
Home Win
65%
23%
Draw
21%
32%
Away Win
14%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Völs v Kematen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Völs
The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kematen
The Market 17%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
384 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
353 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Völs vs Kematen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Völs edged past Kematen 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Völs as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Völs vs Kematen?
Völs 3-2 Kematen in the Austria - Landesliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Völs vs Kematen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Völs win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Völs 45%, draw 23%, Kematen 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Völs), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Völs)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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AULAN
More Austria - Landesliga
23 Mar 2024