Desportivo Brasil 1-0 Bandeirante SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
40%
Away Win
55%
-15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Desportivo Brasil The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandeirante SP The Market 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Desportivo Brasil
1-0
AWAY Bandeirante SP
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Desportivo Brasil vs Bandeirante SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Desportivo Brasil edged past Bandeirante SP 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Desportivo Brasil made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Desportivo Brasil had 50% of the ball to Bandeirante SP's 50%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Desportivo Brasil vs Bandeirante SP?

Desportivo Brasil 1-0 Bandeirante SP in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Desportivo Brasil vs Bandeirante SP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandeirante SP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Desportivo Brasil 33%, draw 27%, Bandeirante SP 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bandeirante SP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandeirante SP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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