Marilia 0-0 Votuporanguense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
No Pick
69%
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
42%
4-5
12%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marilia The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Votuporanguense The Market 24%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marilia
0-0
AWAY Votuporanguense
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Marilia vs Votuporanguense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marilia and Votuporanguense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Marilia at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marilia had 58% of the ball to Votuporanguense's 42%, shots finished 24-8.

What was the final score of Marilia vs Votuporanguense?

Marilia 0-0 Votuporanguense in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marilia vs Votuporanguense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marilia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marilia 54%, draw 24%, Votuporanguense 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marilia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marilia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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