23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Fontenay vs Laval II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No Pick
62%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
47%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
54%
26%
Draw
26%
20%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fontenay v Laval II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fontenay
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Laval II
The Market 23%
+23% /
+23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+88%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
11
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
446 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
236 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fontenay vs Laval II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Fontenay squeezed past Laval II 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fontenay as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Fontenay vs Laval II?
Fontenay 1-0 Laval II in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fontenay vs Laval II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fontenay win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fontenay 54%, draw 26%, Laval II 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fontenay), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Fontenay)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024