23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Selongey vs Gueugnon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
26%
Home Win
32%
33%
Draw
28%
41%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Selongey v Gueugnon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Selongey
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gueugnon
The Market 45%
-12% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+11%
/
-48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
277 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Selongey vs Gueugnon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Selongey and Gueugnon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gueugnon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Selongey vs Gueugnon?
Selongey 1-1 Gueugnon in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Selongey vs Gueugnon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gueugnon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Selongey 26%, draw 33%, Gueugnon 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gueugnon), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Gueugnon)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024