23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Raon-LEtape vs Thaon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
43%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
65%
21%
Draw
21%
36%
Away Win
14%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Raon-LEtape v Thaon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Raon-LEtape
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Thaon
The Market 17%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-26% /
-26%
3.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
+89%
/
-57%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-20%
/
-19%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
360 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
306 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Raon-LEtape vs Thaon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Raon-LEtape squeezed past Thaon 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raon-LEtape as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Raon-LEtape vs Thaon?
Raon-LEtape 1-0 Thaon in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Raon-LEtape vs Thaon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Raon-LEtape win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Raon-LEtape 43%, draw 21%, Thaon 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raon-LEtape) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Raon-LEtape)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024