23/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Al-Noor vs Arar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
31%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
48%
Home Win
37%
27%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Noor v Arar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Noor
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arar
The Market 43%
+3% /
+3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-61% /
-61%
1.50/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/4.00
-6%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-55%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
329 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
285 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Noor vs Arar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arar edged past Al-Noor 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Al-Noor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Al-Noor vs Arar?
Al-Noor 1-2 Arar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Noor vs Arar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Noor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al-Noor 48%, draw 27%, Arar 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Noor) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al-Noor)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
More Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division
23 Mar 2024