23/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Wajj vs Alhowra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
34%
4-5
31%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
56%
Home Win
66%
12%
Draw
18%
32%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wajj v Alhowra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Wajj
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alhowra
The Market 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+24% /
+24%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+43%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
362 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Wajj vs Alhowra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Wajj
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Alhowra
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Wajj vs Alhowra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Wajj beat Alhowra 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wajj as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Wajj vs Alhowra?
Wajj 3-1 Alhowra in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wajj vs Alhowra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wajj win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wajj 56%, draw 12%, Alhowra 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wajj), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Wajj)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SUUD2
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23 Mar 2024