23/03/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Al Draih vs Tuwaiq Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
53%
21%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Draih v Tuwaiq — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Draih
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tuwaiq
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-41% /
-41%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-63%
/
-33%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
4
428 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Draih vs Tuwaiq Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Draih
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Tuwaiq
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Draih vs Tuwaiq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Draih edged past Tuwaiq 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Draih as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Draih vs Tuwaiq?
Al Draih 1-0 Tuwaiq in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Draih vs Tuwaiq?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Draih win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Draih 50%, draw 21%, Tuwaiq 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Draih) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Draih)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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