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Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester City (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals
Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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2-1
HT 0-0
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Manchester City (K)
İNKPL
1-0
Chelsea (K)
İNKFAK
Manchester City (K) 1-2 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) squeezed past Manchester City (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chelsea (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Manchester City (K) had 44% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 56%, shots finished 11-28, expected goals 1.30 to 2.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.83 for Chelsea (K).
What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Manchester City (K) 1-2 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 40%, draw 22%, Chelsea (K) 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No went the other way.