Baden 1-3 Zürich II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich II EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.84/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+9% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Zürich II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
18.03.2023 Baden Baden 2-2 HT 1-1 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
10.09.2022 Zürich II Zürich II 5-0 HT 3-0 Baden Baden İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baden
1-3
AWAY Zürich II
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Baden vs Zürich II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich II got the better of Baden 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Zürich II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baden had 43% of the ball to Zürich II's 57%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zürich II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baden and 3.50 for Zürich II.

What was the final score of Baden vs Zürich II?

Baden 1-3 Zürich II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Zürich II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baden 39%, draw 23%, Zürich II 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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