Delemont 3-1 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delemont EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.34/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.98
-22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delemont
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bavois
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.09.2024 Bavois 1-1 HT 0-0 Delemont Delemont İSV1Y
03.03.2024 Delemont Delemont 2-0 HT 1-0 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delemont
3-1
AWAY Bavois
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Delemont vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delemont saw off Bavois 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Delemont made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Delemont had 66% of the ball to Bavois's 34%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Delemont had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Delemont and 0.50 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Delemont vs Bavois?

Delemont 3-1 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delemont vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delemont win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Delemont 38%, draw 25%, Bavois 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delemont), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Delemont) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
23 Mar 2025
17:00 Lugano II vs Rapperswil-Jona Analysis →
17:00 Baden vs Zürich II Analysis →