Lugano II 0-2 Rapperswil-Jona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
32%
+13.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.7pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.85
-21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 2-3 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
24.02.2024 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona 3-0 HT 2-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
30.08.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapperswil-Jona Rapperswil-Jona İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
0-2
AWAY Rapperswil-Jona
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Rapperswil-Jona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapperswil-Jona saw off Lugano II 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lugano II had 50% of the ball to Rapperswil-Jona's 50%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rapperswil-Jona led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano II and 2.00 for Rapperswil-Jona.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Lugano II 0-2 Rapperswil-Jona in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 46%, draw 20%, Rapperswil-Jona 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lugano II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV1Y More Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme
23 Mar 2025
16:30 Delemont vs Bavois Analysis →
17:00 Baden vs Zürich II Analysis →