Havelse 1-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.9pp
18%
Draw
27%
-8.2pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.95/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.04
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +49%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lübeck
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
22.09.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
20.10.2019 Havelse Havelse 3-1 HT 0-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
29.11.2015 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
22.11.2014 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
03.08.2014 Havelse Havelse 2-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse and Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Havelse at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havelse had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Havelse and 1.67 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Lübeck?

Havelse 1-1 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Havelse 46%, draw 18%, Lübeck 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Havelse), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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