Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
2.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.98
+53% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2 Corners 12
21.09.2024 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.11.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.11.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck edged past Drochtersen / Assel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Phönix Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.67 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Phönix Lübeck 1-0 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 35%, draw 26%, Drochtersen / Assel 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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