Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.57/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.38
-2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
12 Corners 2
04.05.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.11.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.11.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.09.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel edged past Phönix Lübeck 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Drochtersen / Assel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 0.83 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Phönix Lübeck?

Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 40%, draw 28%, Phönix Lübeck 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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