Lübeck 2-2 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-11.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.09/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.52
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Havelse
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
05.11.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
20.10.2019 Havelse Havelse 3-1 HT 0-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
29.11.2015 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
22.11.2014 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
03.08.2014 Havelse Havelse 2-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and Havelse couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Havelse at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Lübeck and 2.00 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Havelse?

Lübeck 2-2 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 26%, draw 27%, Havelse 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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