Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.58/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.32
-12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
03.09.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 4-1 HT 3-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
14.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 4-3 HT 2-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
22.10.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.10.2019 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig squeezed past Babelsberg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.33 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg?

Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 44%, draw 29%, Babelsberg 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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