Hamburg II 5-0 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
2.18/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.56
+49% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 0-2 HT 0-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
08.05.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-2 HT 0-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
26.03.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-2 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
01.09.2019 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
08.11.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 5-1 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II swept aside VfB Oldenburg 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Hamburg II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hamburg II and 2.50 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Hamburg II 5-0 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 37%, draw 26%, VfB Oldenburg 37%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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