Holstein Kiel II 1-1 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.98/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/2.06
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY BW Lohne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 1-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
14.09.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II and BW Lohne shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Holstein Kiel II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 0.67 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs BW Lohne?

Holstein Kiel II 1-1 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 41%, draw 28%, BW Lohne 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
22 Sep 2024
14:00 Lübeck vs Havelse Analysis →
14:00 Hamburg II vs VfB Oldenburg Analysis →
14:00 Altglienicke vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:00 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Babelsberg Analysis →
14:00 Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena Analysis →
15:00 St. Pauli II vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →