Eilenburg 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.05/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.78
-18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.02.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 3-1 HT 3-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
13.08.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg and Carl Zeiss Jena shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eilenburg and 2.33 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Eilenburg 1-1 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 22%, draw 26%, Carl Zeiss Jena 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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