Brisbane City 0-1 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.12/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.02
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 23.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
488 Passes 319
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
19.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
16.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
10.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-2 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
02.04.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights squeezed past Brisbane City 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane City and 2.00 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights?

Brisbane City 0-1 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 27%, draw 26%, Gold Coast Knights 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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