Gold Coast Knights 3-1 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.21/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.96
+15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.9 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brisbane City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
362 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
10.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-2 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
02.04.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
25.08.2020 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
08.08.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights saw off Brisbane City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.00 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Gold Coast Knights 3-1 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 65%, draw 18%, Brisbane City 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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