Brisbane City 1-2 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.5pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-9.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 70%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
0.28/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.16
-85% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.1 Crosses 24.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
430 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
16.07.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
08.04.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
10.08.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-2 HT 1-2 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
02.04.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
25.08.2020 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights edged past Brisbane City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane City and 2.00 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights?

Brisbane City 1-2 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 24%, draw 20%, Gold Coast Knights 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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