Croydon Kings 5-3 South Adelaide Panthers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.5pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers EU Bookmakers 23%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.80/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.38
-20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
3W-3D-0L
AWAY South Adelaide Panthers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 2-2 HT 2-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
15.07.2023 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 3-3 HT 2-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVSA
25.04.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 3-1 HT 2-0 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
23.07.2022 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-3 HT 0-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
22.04.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-1 HT 0-1 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers AVNPL
21.08.2021 South Adelaide Panthers South Adelaide Panthers 1-2 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs South Adelaide Panthers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings got the better of South Adelaide Panthers 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Croydon Kings as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Croydon Kings and 1.50 for South Adelaide Panthers.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Croydon Kings 5-3 South Adelaide Panthers in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs South Adelaide Panthers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 49%, draw 23%, South Adelaide Panthers 28%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croydon Kings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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