Para Hills Knights 1-1 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 45%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.15/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.01
-28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Para Hills Knights
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
27.04.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-2 HT 1-1 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
02.10.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
15.08.2020 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-2 HT 0-2 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
06.03.2015 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 4-3 HT 2-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
30.03.2014 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-1 HT 1-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Para Hills Knights and Adelaide Raiders shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide Raiders at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Adelaide Raiders led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Para Hills Knights and 2.00 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Raiders?

Para Hills Knights 1-1 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide Raiders win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Para Hills Knights 33%, draw 21%, Adelaide Raiders 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide Raiders), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide Raiders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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