Avondale Heights 2-1 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.0pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
0.67/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.12
+25% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +50%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
327 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
20.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-8 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
08.07.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 5-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
08.04.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-3 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
02.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
02.04.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
24.04.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights edged past Dandenong Thunder 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Avondale Heights and 1.00 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Dandenong Thunder?

Avondale Heights 2-1 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 62%, draw 17%, Dandenong Thunder 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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