Dandenong Thunder 0-8 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
63%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.38
Over 2.5
63%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
17%
-0.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
62%
Away Win
63%
-0.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 67%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.42/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.80
-17% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses 17.5
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.41 xG 1.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
218 Passes 327
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 5-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
08.04.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-3 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
02.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
02.04.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
24.04.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
18.04.2015 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 3-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights ran out comfortable winners over Dandenong Thunder 8-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 2.33 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale Heights?

Dandenong Thunder 0-8 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 16%, draw 21%, Avondale Heights 62%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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