Kenya 1-2 Gabon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 23 Mar 2025

Kenya
1-2 HT 0-1
Gabon
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Kenya vs Gabon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.23
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kenya v Gabon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kenya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabon EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.02/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.00
-98% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Kenya vs Gabon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kenya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gabon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
8 Total Shots 11
0 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.11.2023 Gabon Gabon 2-1 HT 0-1 Kenya Kenya DKE

Kenya 1-2 Gabon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kenya
1-2
AWAY Gabon
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kenya vs Gabon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabon squeezed past Kenya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gabon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kenya had 53% of the ball to Gabon's 47%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Kenya vs Gabon?

Kenya 1-2 Gabon in the World Cup Qualifiers on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kenya vs Gabon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kenya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kenya 37%, draw 29%, Gabon 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kenya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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