Esvatini 3-3 Mauritius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.13
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
23%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esvatini EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mauritius EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esvatini
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mauritius
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
11.06.2024 Mauritius Mauritius 2-1 HT 2-0 Esvatini Esvatini DKE
06.07.2022 Mauritius Mauritius 0-3 HT 0-1 Esvatini Esvatini CAFCOS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esvatini
3-3
AWAY Mauritius
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esvatini vs Mauritius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esvatini and Mauritius shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Esvatini at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Esvatini and 1.00 for Mauritius.

What was the final score of Esvatini vs Mauritius?

Esvatini 3-3 Mauritius in the World Cup Qualifiers on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esvatini vs Mauritius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esvatini win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Esvatini 49%, draw 32%, Mauritius 19%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esvatini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
23 Mar 2025
16:00 Kenya vs Gabon Analysis →