11/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Mauritius vs Esvatini Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
29%
Draw
32%
39%
Away Win
39%
61%
Under 2.5
70%
39%
Over 2.5
30%
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
54%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mauritius v Esvatini — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mauritius
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Esvatini
EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
258 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Mauritius vs Esvatini Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mauritius
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Esvatini
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
6
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
7
2
Corners
2
The Meetings
06.07.2022
Mauritius
0-3
HT 0-1
Esvatini
CAFCOS
0-3
HT 0-1
Esvatini
CAFCOS
POST-MATCH
Mauritius vs Esvatini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mauritius squeezed past Esvatini 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mauritius found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Mauritius vs Esvatini?
Mauritius 2-1 Esvatini in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mauritius vs Esvatini?
Before kick-off our model rated an Esvatini win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mauritius 32%, draw 29%, Esvatini 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Esvatini)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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DKE
More World Cup Qualifiers
11 Jun 2024