Mauritius 2-1 Esvatini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.89
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
7.34
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mauritius EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Esvatini EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mauritius
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Esvatini
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
06.07.2022 Mauritius Mauritius 0-3 HT 0-1 Esvatini Esvatini CAFCOS
POST-MATCH Mauritius vs Esvatini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mauritius squeezed past Esvatini 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mauritius found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mauritius vs Esvatini?

Mauritius 2-1 Esvatini in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mauritius vs Esvatini?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esvatini win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mauritius 32%, draw 29%, Esvatini 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esvatini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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