Japonya 5-0 Suriye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒13:14 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.99
2-3 Goals
36%
2.07
4-5 Goals
24%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
77%
-8.9pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.0pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Suriye EU Bookmakers 11%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.20/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.76
-29% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
34.0 Crosses 9.1
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Suriye
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.41 xG 0.55
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
566 Passes 181
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 5
23 Crosses 9
21.11.2023 Suriye Suriye 0-5 HT 0-3 Japonya Japonya DKE
13.01.2011 Suriye Suriye 1-2 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya
5-0
AWAY Suriye
2.65 xG 0.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
554 Passes 207
90% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Japonya vs Suriye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya ran out comfortable winners over Suriye 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Japonya had 67% of the ball to Suriye's 33%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.65 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Japonya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Japonya and 0.50 for Suriye.

What was the final score of Japonya vs Suriye?

Japonya 5-0 Suriye in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya vs Suriye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Japonya 68%, draw 18%, Suriye 13%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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