Avustralya 5-0 Filistin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-13.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Filistin EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
3.56/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.85
+43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -40%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
474 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Filistin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.41 xG 0.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
428 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Filistin Filistin 0-1 HT 0-1 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
11.01.2019 Filistin Filistin 0-3 HT 0-2 Avustralya Avustralya ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya
5-0
AWAY Filistin
3.92 xG 0.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
513 Passes 383
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya vs Filistin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya swept aside Filistin 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avustralya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Avustralya had 56% of the ball to Filistin's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 3.92 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avustralya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avustralya and 0.00 for Filistin.

What was the final score of Avustralya vs Filistin?

Avustralya 5-0 Filistin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Filistin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 62%, draw 21%, Filistin 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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