Güney Kore 1-0 Çin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.27/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.71
-9% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
478 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.9
28.4 Crosses 12.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Çin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.08 xG 0.23
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
508 Passes 209
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Çin Çin 0-3 HT 0-2 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
20.07.2022 Çin Çin 0-3 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore EAFF
15.12.2019 Güney Kore Güney Kore 1-0 HT 1-0 Çin Çin E-1FŞ
16.01.2019 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-0 HT 1-0 Çin Çin ASK
09.12.2017 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-2 HT 2-1 Çin Çin E-1FŞ
23.03.2017 Çin Çin 1-0 HT 1-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore
1-0
AWAY Çin
0.84 xG 0.29
82% Ball Possession 18%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 1
626 Passes 80
91% Pass Accuracy 53%
27 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Güney Kore vs Çin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore squeezed past Çin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Güney Kore had 82% of the ball to Çin's 18%, shots finished 12-2, expected goals 0.84 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Güney Kore had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Güney Kore and 0.50 for Çin.

What was the final score of Güney Kore vs Çin?

Güney Kore 1-0 Çin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore vs Çin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore 63%, draw 21%, Çin 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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