Madagaskar 0-0 Mali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.25
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.3pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali EU Bookmakers 57%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/0.01
+93% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madagaskar
0-0
AWAY Mali
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madagaskar vs Mali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar and Mali fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mali at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Madagaskar had 30% of the ball to Mali's 70%, shots finished 12-27.

What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Mali?

Madagaskar 0-0 Mali in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Mali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 29%, draw 27%, Mali 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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