Endonezya 2-0 Filipinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 11 Jun 2024

📅11/06/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 29% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.7pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Filipinler EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
6.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.94
+140% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
504 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Filipinler
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Filipinler Filipinler 1-1 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
02.01.2023 Filipinler Filipinler 1-2 HT 0-2 Endonezya Endonezya AFF
25.11.2018 Endonezya Endonezya 0-0 HT 0-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
2-0
AWAY Filipinler
1.44 xG 0.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
327 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Filipinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya got the better of Filipinler 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Endonezya as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Endonezya had 54% of the ball to Filipinler's 46%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Endonezya had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Endonezya and 0.67 for Filipinler.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Filipinler?

Endonezya 2-0 Filipinler in the World Cup Qualifiers on 11/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Filipinler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Endonezya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 60%, draw 20%, Filipinler 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Endonezya), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Endonezya) ✓ BTTS No
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