Gimhae City 5-1 Geoje Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Mar 2025

Gimhae City
5-1
Geoje Citizen
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2025

Gimhae City vs Geoje Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimhae City v Geoje Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Geoje Citizen EU Bookmakers 18%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Geoje Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City swept aside Geoje Citizen 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Geoje Citizen?

Gimhae City 5-1 Geoje Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Geoje Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 52%, draw 22%, Geoje Citizen 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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