Hwaseong 1-0 Jinju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Mar 2025

Hwaseong
1-0
Jinju Citizen
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2025

Hwaseong vs Jinju Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
30%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
68%
-22.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
12%
+18.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Jinju Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Jinju Citizen EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-5% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Jinju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong nicked a narrow win over Jinju Citizen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hwaseong as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Jinju Citizen?

Hwaseong 1-0 Jinju Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Jinju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 46%, draw 24%, Jinju Citizen 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
23 Mar 2025
00:00 Chuncheon Citizen vs Incheon United Analysis →
08:00 Busan Transportation vs Busan I Park Analysis →
08:00 Cheonan City vs Pocheon Analysis →
08:00 Gimhae City vs Geoje Citizen Analysis →
08:00 Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Citizen Analysis →
08:00 Bucheon 1995 vs Yeoju Sejong Analysis →