Enyimba 1-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.95
No
59%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.7pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
30%
+10.7pp
59%
BTTS No
70%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enyimba EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.67/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.18
+6% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enyimba
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 1-1 HT 1-1 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
12.06.2024 Enyimba Enyimba 1-1 HT 1-1 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Enyimba vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enyimba and Bayelsa United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Enyimba carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Enyimba and 1.00 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Enyimba vs Bayelsa United?

Enyimba 1-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enyimba vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Enyimba win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Enyimba 55%, draw 33%, Bayelsa United 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Enyimba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Enyimba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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