Shooting Stars 3-1 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.5pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.64/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.59
+3% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
288 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-0 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
25.03.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-1 HT 0-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
05.11.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 4-1 HT 1-1 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
19.01.2022 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 2-0 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars beat Niger Tornadoes 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Niger Tornadoes led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.75 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Niger Tornadoes?

Shooting Stars 3-1 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 52%, draw 29%, Niger Tornadoes 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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