Chayka 0-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.60/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.25
+48% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-2 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
27.06.2019 Chayka Chayka 1-0 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets HAZ
08.07.2017 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-3 HT 1-3 Chayka Chayka HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
0-2
AWAY Chernomorets
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets got the better of Chayka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Chernomorets made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chayka had 52% of the ball to Chernomorets's 48%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chayka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chayka and 1.33 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Chernomorets?

Chayka 0-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chayka 33%, draw 30%, Chernomorets 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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