FK Ufa 0-6 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
24%
2.88
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.3pp
53%
Away Win
45%
+7.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.4pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 49%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
0.91/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.62
-11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +58%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
22.04.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
01.10.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-2 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
0-6
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad cruised past FK Ufa 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, FK Ufa had 55% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 45%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Ufa and 2.00 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

FK Ufa 0-6 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 23%, draw 24%, Baltika Kaliningrad 53%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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