Chernomorets vs Chayka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chernomorets v Chayka — Team-Based Signals
Chernomorets vs Chayka Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Chernomorets
HAZ
3-3
HT 1-3
Chayka
HAZ
Chernomorets 1-2 Chayka — Actual Match Statistics
Chayka nicked a narrow win over Chernomorets 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chernomorets had 63% of the ball to Chayka's 37%, shots finished 19-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chayka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chernomorets and 2.00 for Chayka.
What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Chayka?
Chernomorets 1-2 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Chayka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 45%, draw 28%, Chayka 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.