Tyumen 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
0.85/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.70
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 0-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
10.09.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-1
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz edged past Tyumen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alaniya Vladikavkaz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tyumen had 35% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 65%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alaniya Vladikavkaz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tyumen and 1.00 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Tyumen 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 38%, draw 27%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tyumen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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