Neftekhimik 2-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.20/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.18
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Ufa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
2-1
AWAY FK Ufa
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik squeezed past FK Ufa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Neftekhimik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 58% of the ball to FK Ufa's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs FK Ufa?

Neftekhimik 2-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 39%, draw 31%, FK Ufa 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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