Vitoria 1-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.45
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
33%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.65
Over
42%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.45
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.5
6+
4%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.75
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
13%
5.7
X/X
21%
3.86
2/1
2%
32.5
2/2
18%
4.24
2/X
5%
13.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vitoria The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Average Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.14 xG 2.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 2-0 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
27.07.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
02.09.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
20.05.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
08.08.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Vitoria Vitoria BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
1 - 0
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.63 xG 0.84
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Vitoria vs Mirassol FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitoria came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Mirassol FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Vitoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Mirassol FC saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.63 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vitoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Vitoria against 0.80 for Mirassol FC.

Vitoria vs Mirassol FC Result & Final Score

Vitoria 1 - 0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitoria vs Mirassol FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 36%, draw 31%, Mirassol FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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